The global benchmark for consensus economic forecasts

See where 1,000+ professional economists think the global economy is heading.

Know what professional economists expected, when they expected it, and how those expectations changed.

Independent economic forecasts and preserved historical expectations dating back to 1989.

2026 GDP growth forecasts | March 2026 Consensus survey Latest daily update:

Professional forecasts, individual estimates and historical survey data for research, investment and long-term planning.

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THE CONSENSUS TIME MACHINE

A historical record built across regions since 1989.

Know what professional economists expected, when they expected it and how those expectations changed. Decades of consistent surveys across the world's major economies provide a point in time record that cannot be recreated retrospectively.

Coverage milestones

1989
G7 and Western Europe The original monthly survey record begins.
1990
Asia, Eastern Europe and Latin America Regional coverage expands across major emerging markets.
1995
Foreign exchange and commodities The historical archive broadens beyond country macro forecasts.

2008 · Global financial crisis

The global financial crisis

By 2008, the archive spanned decades of monthly surveys across major regions, as well as foreign exchange and commodities. Its dated records reveal how expectations evolved before and during the global financial crisis.

A QUESTION FOR THE ARCHIVE

What did successive forecasts indicate before and during the crisis?

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BREADTH. DEPTH. CONSISTENCY.

Beyond headline forecasts. A deeper record of expectations.

Consensus Economics surveys professional economists across a broad range of economic variables, extending well beyond GDP growth and consumer price inflation. Household consumption, investment, industrial production, employment and other indicators contribute to a fuller picture of economic expectations.

We value the breadth of contributions across each survey and the consistency of participation over time. Detailed individual forecasts and contributor records allow the depth of the consensus to be examined at the variable level, across countries and successive survey dates.

21 million

Auditable point in time forecasts A detailed databank built through decades of regular surveys covering a wide range of economic variables.

See the consensus — and what sits behind it.

See how professional forecasts evolve over time, then explore the individual estimates and history behind every consensus.

US consensus GDP growth forecast for 2026, showing how the monthly consensus changed through the survey period.
Selected economic context

First-quarter GDP revised to −0.2% annualised.

Fed cut rates; the 2026 GDP median rose to 2.3%.

Fed held rates; the 2026 GDP median stood at 2.4%.

Source: Consensus Economics. Historical illustration of US GDP growth expectations, January 2025–March 2026.
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YOUR WORKFLOW

Make the data work for you.

Benchmark assumptions, test decisions and track how expectations change with consensus forecasts.

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Data delivery

Choose how you work with consensus forecasts.

One underlying dataset, four delivery routes. Read complete publications, work in structured Excel, integrate through the API or research preserved survey history.

01 Read

Publications

Complete survey publications

Forecasts, individual responses and the survey context in which they were collected.

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02 Analyse

Structured Excel

Automation ready Stable files for repeatable workflows

Structured workbooks designed to feed repeatable models and processes with each release.

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03 Integrate

API

Direct machine-readable delivery

Machine-readable forecasts for internal applications, models, dashboards and automated workflows.

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04 Backtest

Historical Databank

21m+ Individual forecasts preserved

Original survey vintages for backtesting, forecast revision analysis and research without hindsight bias.

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Methodology

Built from independent professional forecasts.

Independent professional forecasts, collected consistently and preserved through time. Browse our News and Articles for published research and commentary.

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Methodology, data and delivery

Frequently asked questions

A concise guide to the questions most often asked before working with Consensus Forecasts.

01Why use a consensus rather than a single forecast?

A consensus combines many professional forecasts into an independent benchmark, reducing reliance on any one institution's assumptions or model. The underlying individual forecasts and ranges also show where professional opinion agrees — and where it differs.

How Consensus Forecasts work
02Can the historical data be used for backtesting?

Yes. Historical survey vintages preserve the forecasts that were actually available at each point in time, making them useful for backtesting, revision analysis and studying forecast errors without hindsight bias.

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03How often are the forecasts updated?

Most core Consensus Forecasts follow a monthly survey cycle, with publication dates set in advance. Continuous Consensus data are also available through the API for users who need updates between the main survey dates.

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More questions about Consensus Forecasts
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